The race for the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot has narrowed to a genuine two horse battle heading into the semifinals, and it’s the betting market that has soccer fans across New York and the rest of the US buzzing this week.
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2026 World Cup Golden Boot Odds: Full Favorites List
Before diving into the individual contenders, here’s a snapshot of the current Golden Boot odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, with the field now down to the four semifinal nations:
| Player | Country | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | France | +105 |
| Lionel Messi | Argentina | +150 |
| Harry Kane | England | +900 |
| Ousmane Dembele | France | +3500 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | Spain | +7000 |
| Jude Bellingham | England | +12500 |
Kylian Mbappe Retakes The Lead For France
Kylian Mbappe has drawn level with Lionel Messi on eight goals apiece and now holds a narrow lead in the Golden Boot race thanks to his assist total, which serves as the first tiebreaker under FIFA rules.
Mbappe scored again in France’s 2-0 quarterfinal win over Morocco before setting up Ousmane Dembele for the second goal. He now has 20 career World Cup goals, second only to Miroslav Klose’s all time record of 16 across four tournaments.
France faces Spain in the semifinals on Tuesday in Dallas, giving Mbappe another shot to pull clear in the race, and you can check the full outright picture in our 2026 World Cup winner odds breakdown.
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Lionel Messi Still Right There For Argentina
Lionel Messi remains just behind Mbappe in the race after scoring in every match Argentina has played this tournament, extending his own record for the longest scoring streak in World Cup history.
At 39 years old and playing in what is almost certainly his final World Cup, Messi has personally accounted for eight of Argentina’s 14 goals this summer. He faces England in the semifinals on Wednesday in Atlanta, with a chance to retake the outright Golden Boot lead.
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Harry Kane Still In The Mix For England
Harry Kane sits well behind the top two at +900, but the England captain has quietly kept pace all tournament with six goals, including a penalty against Mexico that helped send the Three Lions through.
As England’s designated penalty taker and all-time leading scorer, Kane remains the clearest outside shot at the Golden Boot heading into Wednesday’s semifinal against Argentina.
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Ousmane Dembele And Mikel Oyarzabal Round Out The Field
Ousmane Dembele has emerged as a real threat behind Mbappe in France’s attack, while Spain’s Mikel Oyarzabal has come up with crucial goals off the bench in each of the last two knockout rounds.
Jude Bellingham offers the longest realistic odds among the remaining contenders, but a deep England run could still put him in the conversation by the time the final is played on July 19.
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Erling Haaland’s Tournament Ends In The Quarterfinals
Erling Haaland’s remarkable World Cup debut, which included a brace against Brazil in the Round of 16, ended when Norway fell to England in the quarterfinals.
Haaland finishes the tournament with seven goals, the most by any player in his World Cup debut since Poland’s Grzegorz Lato in 1974, but he is officially out of contention for the Golden Boot with Norway eliminated.
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