The World Cup has reached its final four, and the biggest sporting event on the planet is down to a single week before a champion is crowned at MetLife Stadium on July 19.
For the first time in tournament history, all four of FIFA’s top ranked teams entering the event have made it to the semifinals: France, Spain, England, and Argentina.
For sports bettors, that means the futures market has narrowed sharply, with plenty of value still on the board depending on how the bracket plays out.
Let’s dive into the latest 2026 World Cup winner odds to see which nations are favored to lift the iconic trophy.
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Current 2026 World Cup Outright Betting Odds
According to FanDuel Sportsbook, France holds a clear edge over the other three semifinalists heading into this week’s matches.
Below are the outright betting odds for the four remaining teams as of July 12:
- France +140
- England +310
- Spain +330
- Argentina +400
Analyzing the 2026 World Cup Betting Favorites
France (+140) – Mbappe’s Quest for History
France has reached the semifinals for a third straight World Cup and remains the clear favorite to go all the way.
Led by Kylian Mbappe, Les Bleus have won all six of their matches and outscored opponents 16-2 in the process.
Mbappe scored again in the quarterfinal win over Morocco and continues to close in on Miroslav Klose’s all time World Cup scoring record, keeping him firmly in the mix for the Golden Boot race as well.
France meets Spain in the semifinals on Tuesday in Dallas, with a spot in a fourth straight World Cup final on the line.
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Spain (+330) – The Tiki-Taka Evolution Continues
The reigning European champions have yet to concede a goal in six matches, a run that has kept La Roja firmly in the title conversation.
Powered by Lamine Yamal and Pedri in midfield, Spain’s possession heavy style has ground down opponents throughout the tournament, including a 2-1 win over Belgium in the quarterfinals.
Spain now faces a stern test against France on Tuesday, with the winner becoming the overwhelming favorite to lift the trophy in New Jersey.
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England (+310) – The Tuchel Era Delivers
Under manager Thomas Tuchel, England has climbed above both Spain and Argentina on the odds board after a dramatic extra time win over Norway, capped by a Jude Bellingham brace.
Backed by Harry Kane, Bellingham, and Declan Rice, England has scored freely throughout the knockout stage and is chasing its first World Cup final appearance since the 1966 triumph. Kane also remains firmly in the Golden Boot odds heading into the semifinal.
The Three Lions face Argentina in the semifinals on Wednesday in Atlanta.
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Argentina (+400) – Messi’s Last Dance
The defending champions have needed extra time or a late goal in each of their last three knockout matches, a shaky pattern that has kept their odds longer than the other three semifinalists.
Lionel Messi remains the tournament’s Golden Boot leader and continues to paper over some of Argentina’s defensive lapses, but a tougher opponent in England awaits on Wednesday in Atlanta.
A win would send Argentina back to the final in pursuit of a second straight title.
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