If you’re a fan of pro football and you live in New York (and you aren’t a Bills fan) you have little to be happy about so far this season. The season is past the halfway point, so as country music icon June Carter used to sing: “Time’s a wastin’.”
Both the Jets and Giants will be in action on Sunday for their 11th games of the season. Neither team is likely to make a chase for a playoff spot this year, but with a new 17-game schedule, there’s even more time to see what these teams are made of in anticipation for next season.
Here are some tips for placing your wagers on the Jets and the Giants this weekend.
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New York Jets At Houston Texans
The Jets are reeling, having lost five of their last six games. But maybe there’s a silver lining. In three of those losses, the Jets were within one score of tying the game. Despite a few high-profile, smack across the chops drubbings this season, the Jets have been competitive in the majority of their games.
- The Jets are 3-7 against the spread. They covered against teams with losing or .500 records. The Texans are not good, but at home this season they are 3-1 ATS. Home cooking seems to warm Houston’s bellies, so be mindful of that with the Jets going into NRG Stadium on Sunday.
- The Jets have started not one, not two, but three quarterbacks this season — even Joe Flacco. Mike White will probably get his job back after Flacco was over center against the Dolphins. That shouldn’t give you any confidence in player props on any of the Jets’ wide receivers, even the talented Elijah Moore.
- The Jets’ opponent has scored first in nine of their 10 games. At Houston on Sunday, pick a Texans’ receiver in the first to score a TD market.
- The Texans average 15 points per game, the lowest total in the NFL. DraftKings has the total set at 45 points (-110), but you may still want to duck under it.
- The Jets are 2.5-point underdogs on the road but remember that Houston is 3-1 ATS at home in 2021.
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Philadelphia Eagles At New York Giants
This game always means something, even if there aren’t playoff implications. Philly is the smart-alecky little brother. New York is the smug, foul-mouthed sibling. These two cities have it out for each other, and a game between the Eagles and Giants usually has some extra flavor.
After a 2-5 start, the Eagles have won three of their last four, but none of those wins came against a team with a winning record. Philly is racking up points against mediocre teams, which makes it harder to assess how good it can be. Still, the team is in second place — only a half-game out of a playoff spot — and their point differential ranks fifth in the NFC.
The Giants are one of the worst offenses in the NFL, and Holy Bill Parcells, they’re also a pretty terrible defensive team too — ranking 25th out of 32 teams. Offensive coordinator Jason Garrett has been fired, so how hot is the seat on which defensive coordinator Patrick Graham sits? The Giants are a mess, and the next off-season will see lots of changes for this team.
First, the Giants will need to finish the 2021 season, and there are several things to keep an eye on for pro football bettors.
- The Giants are last in the NFL in scoring a TD after getting into the red zone. That means lots of field goal attempts. How about betting on the G-Men to kick the first field goal and/or score the first points of the game after a sagging red zone possession?
- If there’s one thing you can say about QB Daniel Jones, it’s that he doesn’t play favorites. Jones is the only QB in the league who doesn’t have a WR he’s targeted with at least 35% of his downfield passes. He tosses it equally to his core of receivers, though few of them get into the end zone.
- Speaking of TD passes, Jones is as likely to run for a TD or pass to a running back or a tight end for a TD as he is to find a WR in the end zone. Don’t pick any Giants receiver to pop on a prop bet to score or yardage.
- The defense looked better in a three-game stretch against the Panthers, Chiefs, and Raiders, but the Giants gave up at least 30 points for the fourth time this season on Monday night against the Buccaneers. The Eagles rank eighth in the league in points per game. This game could get away from the Giants, who stumbled on offense Monday night against Tampa Bay.
- DraftKings has the Eagles as 3.5-point favorites on the road against their division rivals. The Giants have lost eight of their last nine against Philadelphia, and in their last 10 games against the Eagles, they are 2-8 ATS.