Group D closes out Thursday, June 25 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood with USA vs Turkey kicking off at 10 p.m. ET on FOX, where the USMNT can become the first American side to earn nine points from a World Cup group stage.
Covers betting analyst Jason Ence backs the USA moneyline (-105, BetOnline) as his primary pick, citing Turkey’s inability to convert chances and Mauricio Pochettino’s tactical discipline as the structural foundation for a home win.
Covers USA vs Turkey Best Bets Summary
- USA Moneyline (-105, BetOnline)
- Over 2.5 Goals (-135, BetOnline)
Covers USA vs Turkey Prediction: USA Moneyline (-105)
The USA moneyline is hard to resist, even with a heavily rotated lineup.
Ence noted that Pochettino made clear after the Australia match that he wants to maintain momentum with another victory in Group D.
Christian Pulisic is listed as doubtful per the latest injury update, while Cristian Roldan is also doubtful with a muscle issue. Tyler Adams, Folarin Balogun, Antonee Robinson, and Chris Richards all sit on yellow cards and are likely rested.
Even with those absences, Turkey offers little reason for concern. They have fired 62 shots in the tournament – most of any nation – but managed only 13 on target.
Pochettino’s setup will deny Turkey clean looks and force them into frustration mode again. The Covers betting picks point squarely at a USA win here.
Best Bet: USA Moneyline (-105, BetOnline)
Covers USA vs Turkey Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals (-135)
The Over 2.5 goals pairs directly with the moneyline pick, and the structural case is hard to argue with.
Ricardo Pepi and Tim Weah provide the pace to punish Turkey on the break, and the USA has registered five direct attacks in this tournament – tied for fifth-most of any nation.
Check the same game parlay and player prop options for additional angles on this match.
The Americans have committed the third-most errors leading to shots in the entire tournament.
With neither side playing for bracket positioning, defenders are unlikely to sell out on every block, opening the door to more chances at both ends.
Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals (-135, BetOnline)
USA vs Turkey Odds
- USA Moneyline – -105 (BetOnline)
- Turkey Moneyline – +270 (BetOnline)
- Draw – +300 (BetOnline)
- Over 2.5 Goals – -135 (BetOnline)
- Under 2.5 Goals – +115 (BetOnline)
All odds per BetOnline and subject to change before 10 p.m. ET kickoff.
How to Watch USA vs Turkey
- Date – Thursday, June 25, 2026
- Kickoff – 10 p.m. ET
- Stadium – SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
- TV – FOX
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