The Buffalo Bills are back in the AFC Championship game for the first time since 1994, while the Kansas City Chiefs are looking to repeat as Super Bowl champions – setting the stage for what’s sure to be an epic conference title game.
Before you place your bets on the AFC Championship, check out our complete game preview below as we cover everything from recent trends, how to bet, and more.
How to Bet on the Bills vs. Chiefs ACF Championship Game
With legal online sports betting becoming more and more widespread throughout the nation, betting on the Bills vs. the Chiefs game is now easier than ever. First, select your online sportsbook of choice. If you are a Bills fan, your best bet is DraftKings or FanDuel as they are both legal and available in NJ, PA. This week FanDuel also launched online sports betting in Virginia and Michigan. The same is true in Illinois, which is less than 400 miles away from Arrowhead Stadium in Missouri.
Both FanDuel and DraftKings are accessible online and via your mobile app store. Creating an account is extremely easy – all you have to do is provide basic information and you’ll be ready to bet on this weekend’s NFL games in no time.
New players are eligible to receive welcome bonuses at each sportsbook. The bonuses are free and highly recommended if you plan to regularly sports bet.
Sign up now and get a welcome bonus at DraftKings and FanDuel!
DraftKing bonus: Get a $1,000 deposit bonus!
FanDuel bonus: Get a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Bills vs. Chiefs Game Preview
The Bills are red hot riding an 8-game winning streak and the Chiefs have been one of the top teams in the league all year but their star quarterback, Patrick Mahomes, is coming off a concussion injury he suffered last week versus the Browns.
The Chiefs, who were 14-2 in the regular season, are known for their offensive capabilities. But the Bills’ offense can hold their own. Both teams ranked in the top 5 this year in terms of total points per game. The defenses are also fairly even on paper. During the postseason the Bills defense has given up an average of 13 total points per game as opposed to 17 points allowed per game by the Chiefs defense.
These two teams last met during Week 6 of the regular season, with the Chiefs winning by a score of 26-17. And these two teams last met in the postseason in the 1994 AFC Championship game, when the Bills won to advance to their fourth straight Super Bowl.
FanDuel Bills vs Chiefs Odds
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | +3 (-102) | +144 | O 54.5 (-115) |
| Chiefs | -3 (-120) | -172 | U 54.5 (-105) |
DraftKings Bills vs Chiefs Odds
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | +3.5 (-117) | +155 | O 54.5 (-109) |
| Chiefs | -3.5 (-104) | -177 | U 54.5 (-112) |
How to Watch the Bills vs. Chiefs
- Date: Sunday, January 24th
- Time: 6:40 PM EST
- Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)
- TV: CBS
AFC Championship Injury Report
On Friday, the Bills listed defensive tackle Vernon Butler and wide receiver Gabriel Davis as questionable. Butler is dealing with a quad injury while Davis has an ankle injury. Wideouts Cole Beasley and Stefon Diggs were participants in practice after being limited earlier in the week.
The story for Kansas City is Patrick Mahomes, who is overcoming a concussion injury and turf toe. He is on track to play but it remains to be seen if he will be 100% in the game. Chiefs linebacker Willie Gay has been ruled out of Sunday’s game due to a high ankle sprain.
Additionally, the Chiefs listed CB Bashuad Breeland, CB Rashad Fenton, WR Sammy Watkins, RB Le’Veon Bell, and RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire as questionable on their final injury report.
Implied Win Probability
For those of you who don’t know, implied win probability is the “true percentage” chance of an outcome, in this case, it’s winning the AFC Championship, based on a mathematical formula leveraging the betting odds.
At DraftKings, the implied win probability for the Chiefs is 64% while the implied win probability for the Bills is 39%. FanDuel’s odds are slightly different. The implied win probability for the Chiefs, per FanDuel, is 63% and for the Bills, it’s 41%.
Betting Trends
- The Chiefs are 1-9 against the spread over the course of their last 10 games.
- The Chiefs have not covered the spread at home in their past seven home games.
- The Bills are 9-1 against the spread over the course of their last 10 games.
- The Bills are 4-1 against the spread as an underdog this season. Their one loss was against Kansas City in Week 6.