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Sports Betting: Why Odds Change – And How to Take Advantage

Why do odds change unpredictably in sports betting? That is a question that many people ask themselves when they engage in this gambling activity. Many of them give up because they cannot understand why it seems so unpredictable. Giving up is not the answer. Instead, understand this form of gambling so that you can take advantage of its weaknesses. For example, let go of the idea that sports betting is unpredictable. It is not. Instead, the odds change because of various factors and you can take advantage of them. Unsurprisingly, gamblers make millions in sports betting as soon as they realize these facts. You can make millions as well. Here is a comprehensive overview of why odds change in sports betting. You will also find suggestions to help you take advantage of these changes.

Early Betting Odds

Did you know that bookmakers offer an initial price on a given event? For example, most bookmakers in baseball offer this price a few hours before the game starts. Bookmakers in tennis may offer it a few days before the game. In soccer, they do it a week or so before the match takes place. Odds-compliers play a critical role in the determination of these early prices. Remember, bookmakers have to set prices based on the probability of outcomes. They also have to do it based on the likelihood of making a profit. Consider a sports bet on tennis. Odd-compliers may set odds of 10/11. In this case, bookmakers would consider playing equal bets on each player and receiving a guaranteed return on one of them. However, this scenario happens rarely. Instead, the odd-compliers place set odds based on their subjective analysis of possible outcomes. These odds will change because of their subjectivity. Therefore, the profits earned by bookmakers will fluctuate as well.

Price Movements Explained

Life does not stop after odds-compliers set a given price. Instead, it changes leading to new odds. Consequently, new prices will be necessary as well. This necessity arises from the fact that the previous prices were compatible with the early odds. They are incompatible with the new ones. For example, imagine that the odds were 10/11 on each play two days before the event. However, one of the players failed to train for the event as the material day approached. Would the odds remain the same after the relevant parties became aware of this information?

 

No, it would not. Instead, one player would be at 4/6 while another one would be at 11/10. These changing odds would lead to changes in prices as well. In other words, bookmakers react to this information and they do so quickly. Many people view these reactions are ad hoc and unpredictable. Avoid this mistake. Instead, remember that there are incidents taking place behind the scene. These incidents influence the odds and the corresponding prices. Learn about them and then make the appropriate changes to your sports betting strategy.

Response to Changing Odds

Bookmakers can bet heavily on a particular player. A bookmaker seeks to balance his book as soon as he realizes that his cash backs a particular player only. Consequently, they will shorten the odds that they have on the player that is taking most of the money. Conversely, they will increase their bets on the other player. Doing so would help them even their books. It may seem as though they are making rash decisions at the last minute, but that is not the case. Instead, each decision they make is a response to the likelihood that they will make a profit. Therefore, balancing their books to a given degree helps them stay afloat. Learning about why people place so much money on particular players would help you predict these changes. For example, placing a lot of money on popular players is common in sports betting.

Benefitting from Changing Odds

Benefitting from these changes in odds is now possible because you know why they occur. You also have an idea of when they will occur. Can you put this information into good use?

Remember, knowledge is power. As previously mentioned, benefiting from these odds is possible if you seek as much information on relevant players as possible. Set the price based on the information that you are receiving instead of what you already know. Another way of benefitting from these changes in odds is by limiting your reaction to false changes in price. For example, significant price fluctuations without a compelling reason behind them indicate that the price fluctuation is false. Changing your bet on any gambling platform including an online casino Canada based on false information leads to losses in most cases.


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