Green Must Go

Many of us have had man crushes on Wright at certain times during his Mets career. He certainly is a good young player to help build a team around. But I'm pretty sure most of us felt he was going to get even better over time, and I'm not sure this is going to happen. I realize he's playing catchup after having a horrible April, but his numbers don't look too impressive this year so far. Perhaps he can go on a tear and bring his numbers up to his 2005/2006 levels. But is that the ceiling for Wright? Is he ever going to hit over 30+ HRs, 125+ RBIs? Does it even matter? Ironically, I just heard last night that he is leading all players in ASG balloting.

2005 .308 .388 .523 27 HR 102 RBI
2006 .311 .381 .531 26 HR 116 RBI
2007 .286 .372 .486 25 HR 83 RBI (projected)

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metman

Don't know. I never really saw him as a 35/120 guy. I was just thankful to have a damn good hitter under 25. But being objective, seeing him as I would if he were a Brave, I never felt he'd project to be a Miguel Cabrera (I've had that discussion with friends a few years ago).

He'll be just below that level of production with some Scott Rolen type years. But I don't see him as a 35/120 guy consistently. Though I am sure he'll have some 30+ homer years. If he can replicate Fonzie of 99 for 6+ years, I would do cartwheels.

Shooter Mcgavin

You should thank your lucky stars were getting that kind of production from our 3B. Do remember the days of Ty Wigginton and Robin Ventura? Ventura had 1 good season but sucked for 2. BTW, did you notice that Wright is on pace for +30 SB. Not to mention we haven't reached the all-star break and IMO you can pretty much bank on him increasing his average to .300. WTF, you ungrateful, rude, thoughtless little pig! Someone needs to fix your azz!

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Deleted User

I've always thought the projections for Wright as a 35/120 guy were unrealistic. IMO, he'll have a few years where he'll probably hit near 35 homers or maybe even top it, but I see him as a guy that will consistently hit between 25-30 and knock in 100-110 runs.

I think his explosion last June which ultimately gave him 20 homers at the ASB really threw things out of whack regarding what kind of hitter he'll be.

15 Day DL Alou

back in the day, guys used to get better as they matured, so as much as waxey mcstatue disturbs me, I think categorizing what his stats might be in 2008, 2009 or beyond is pretty hard to tell. One thing is certian if Quaditis continues his roll into 2001 Edgardo Alfonzo, Wright is going to get even less RBI opportunities presented to him.

Jennie Lynn-Hayden

he's a .375 month (which I believe that he'll get before the year is over) away from a .300 BA and .500 SA. He's a Scott Rolen clone, and how many of us would've loved to have Scott Rolen 8 years ago?

Oh, and he's 24. You don't get your power peak until later in your 20's.

I still see him as a 35 HR guy. Eventually.

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Deleted User

Agreed, but Wright is a prototypical gap-to-gap guy with great power to the right-center which leads me to my opinion. If he switched it up and became a pull hitter, he probably could/would hit 35+ year in and year out.

It would also come at the expense of his average as we've seen what happens when he goes into a slump and pulls off.

dak11

I think as he gets older he'll develop into that 35 HR guy. The thing that jumps out to me is that he hits a ton of doubles and that's usually a good indicator of power down the line.

The 125 RBI mark depends on the players who hit ahead of him.

"I never felt he'd project to be a Miguel Cabrera"

His career numbers are not that far off of where Cabrera is now though given Cabrera's body (6'2'' vs. 6') he seems to have the potential for a lot more HR power. Granted this doesn't take into account Cabrera eating himself into the next David Wells.

15 Day DL Alou

you are too kind, and don't let Shooter see this, he believes that Cabrera is his listed 210

Sports Doctor

Most guys don't hit their offense prime until late 20's. Same people who think Gomez will never make adjustments, that Reyes was never going to learn to get on base, that Pelfrey will never learn to pitch, are the same people who thinK Wright won't get better.

Deleted User

That's a nice blanket statement that's totally inaccurate.

dak11

Sad part is that Wright's height is probably inflated as well.

metdenn

24. TWENTY FOUR. Prime is 27-30, some people even 28-32. But yea, he's about tapped out.

metdenn

http://www.baseball-reference.com/s/snidedu01.shtml

another guy who totally tapped out at 24.

15 Day DL Alou

probably, unless you think Derek Jeter is 6'4" as he is listed some places.